Affinity

Aggro · Modern · April 2026 · Sim-verified · 100 Bo3 per pair

Format

Modern

Aggro · 6.1% meta

Sim WR (flat)

84.9%

⚖ 84.3% T1/T2 weighted

Rank

T1 · -0.6pp weighted gap

Best / Worst

100%

vs Goryo's Veng / worst 60% vs Domain Zoo

Decklist

Mainboard (60)

4Mox Opal

4Ornithopterthreat313 casts · 1380 dmg · #1 finisher (61)

4Springleaf Drum292 casts · #3 finisher (41)

4Signal Pestthreat308 casts · 1038 dmg · #4 finisher (37)

4Memnitethreat286 casts · #2 finisher (54)

4Thought Monitorvalue

4Cranial Plating284 casts

4Sojourner's Companioncantrip

2Nettlecystvalue

2Engineered Explosivessweep

4Darksteel Citadelland

2Treasure Vaultenabler

4Urza's Sagaenablerfetch land

2Silverbluff Bridgelandenters tapped

2Razortide Bridgelandenters tapped

2Tanglepool Bridgelandenters tapped

2Mistvault Bridgelandenters tapped

1Islandland

3Spire of Industryland

2Frogmite

60 cards · 20 unique

Sideboard (15)

2Metallic Rebukehate

2Haywire Miteremoval

2Dispatchremoval

2Ethersworn Canonisthate

2Relic of Progenituscantrip

2Hurkyl's Recallremoval

2Spell Piercehate

1Torpor Orbhate

15 cards · 8 unique

Deck Construction Findings

Meta-weighted vs flat WR

Beats top decks as well as weak ones

-0.6pp

Ornithopter: #1 damage source

313 casts across 1500 games

1380 dmg

Ornithopter: #1 finisher

Primary combat closer (T5.9)

61 kills

Hidden damage: tokens

Construct Token — not in decklist but a top damage source. Never board out producers.

1714 dmg

Ornithopter: most cast card

0.2x per game average — the engine of the deck

313 casts

Best matchup: Goryo's Vengeance

Combo archetype — structural advantage

100%

Worst matchup: Domain Zoo

Aggro archetype — structural weakness

60%

Stars of the Sim — 1500 Games

MVP

Ornithopter

61 kills

1380 total dmg · Primary combat closer (T5.9)

MVP

Memnite

54 kills

? total dmg · Primary combat closer (T5.9)

Overperformer

Signal Pest

1038 dmg

37 kills

Game Plan

Setup

Deploy artifact count enablers: Mox Opal, Springleaf Drum, 0-drops

Engines: Mox Opal, Springleaf Drum

Enablers: Memnite, Ornithopter

Develop

Deploy threats and equipment: Cranial Plating, Nettlecyst

Payoffs: Cranial Plating, Nettlecyst

Enablers: Frogmite, Sojourner's Companion, Thought Monitor

Equip and attack for massive damage

Mulligan for: Cranial Plating, Memnite, Mox Opal, Ornithopter, Springleaf Drum

Always deploy T1-T2: Memnite, Mox Opal, Ornithopter, Springleaf Drum

Kill Turn Distribution

Goryo's Veng

T6.2 100%

Azorius Cont

T6.4 98%

Izzet Prowes

T5.7 92%

Amulet Titan

T5.9 90%

4c Omnath

T6.0 90%

4/5c Control

T6.3 88%

Azorius Cont

T7.7 88%

Dimir Midran

T6.0 86%

Eldrazi Tron

T7.0 82%

Living End

T5.9 76%

Domain Zoo

T5.9 60%

Metagame Strategy — Non-Obvious Findings

Sideboard asymmetry: vs Izzet Prowess, G1 WR is 60% but match WR improves to 92% (+32pp). Your SB plan is strong here.

Hidden damage engine: Construct Token deals 1714 total damage — a top source that doesn't appear in your decklist. Never board out the cards that produce these tokens.

G1 → Match Swing — Sideboard Asymmetry

Izzet Prowess 60% → 92% +32pp G3=60%

Domain Zoo 90% → 60% -30pp G3=10%

Dimir Midrange 100% → 86% -14pp G3=20%

Eldrazi Tron 70% → 82% +12pp G3=20%

Goryo's Vengeance 90% → 100% +10pp G3=30%

Matchup Spread

T1 opponents (≥5% meta)

Boros Energyaggro21.1%

80%

Jeskai Blinktempo9.2%

74%

Eldrazi Tronramp7.1%

82%

4/5c Controlcontrol6.7%

88%

Azorius Control (WSTcontrol6.7%

88%

Azorius Controlcontrol6.7%

98%

Ruby Stormcombo6.2%

88%

T2 opponents (3-5%)

Izzet Prowessaggro4.9%

92%

Amulet Titancombo4.1%

90%

Goryo's Vengeancecombo3.6%

100%

Living Endcombo3.6%

76%

4c Omnathmidrange3.5%

90%

Field

Domain Zooaggro2.9%

60%

Dimir Midrangemidrange2.8%

86%

Pinnacle Affinityaggro2.0%

82%

Simulated: 2026-05-02 · 16 decks · 100 Bo3/pair (1500 games for Affinity) · Engine: MTGSimManu@3e74429
Source: metagame_data.jsx (D object) · Card stats: deck_cards[3] · Matchups: matchup_cards["3,*"]
Shell: ManusAI · Strategy + EV scoring: Claude · Owner: DJPieter81