Izzet Prowess
Aggro · Modern · April 2026 · Sim-verified · 100 Bo3 per pair
Format
Modern
Aggro · 4.9% meta
Sim WR (flat)
37.6%
⚖ 30.3% T1/T2 weighted
Rank
#13
T2 · -7.3pp weighted gap
Best / Worst
96%
vs Goryo's Veng / worst 0% vs Eldrazi Tron
Decklist
Mainboard (60)
4Dragon's Rage Channelerthreat332 casts · 1209 dmg · #2 finisher (44)
4Monastery Swiftspearthreat339 casts · 1442 dmg · #1 finisher (53)
4Slickshot Show-Offthreat316 casts · 1221 dmg · #4 finisher (20)
4Lightning Boltremoval296 casts · #3 finisher (26)
4Lava Dartremoval
2Unholy Heatremoval
4Mutagenic Growth
2Violent Urge
4Mishra's Baublecantrip288 casts
4Expressive Iterationcantrip
4Preordaincantrip
2Cori-Steel Cutterenabler
3Scalding Tarnlandfetch land
3Wooded Foothillslandfetch land
2Arid Mesalandfetch land
2Bloodstained Mirelandfetch land
2Steam Ventsland
1Stomping Groundland
1Fiery Isletcantrip
2Thundering Fallslandenters tapped
2Mountainland
60 cards · 21 unique
Sideboard (15)
4Consign to Memoryhate
3Pick Your Poison
2Murktide Regentthreat
2Spell Piercehatevs Ruby (2×), Amulet (2×), Living (2×)
2Surgical Extractionvs Living (2×)
1Meltdownsweep
1Spell Snarehate
15 cards · 7 unique
Deck Construction Findings
Meta-weighted vs flat WR
Struggles more against popular decks
-7.3pp
Monastery Swiftspear: #1 damage source
339 casts across 1500 games
1442 dmg
Monastery Swiftspear: #1 finisher
Primary combat closer (T6.0)
53 kills
Monastery Swiftspear: most cast card
0.2x per game average — the engine of the deck
339 casts
Best matchup: Goryo's Vengeance
Combo archetype — structural advantage
96%
Worst matchup: Eldrazi Tron
Ramp archetype — structural weakness
0%
Stars of the Sim — 1500 Games
MVP
Monastery Swiftspear
53 kills
1442 total dmg · Primary combat closer (T6.0)
MVP
Dragon's Rage Channeler
44 kills
1209 total dmg · Primary combat closer (T6.0)
Overperformer
Slickshot Show-Off
1221 dmg
20 kills
Game Plan
Setup
Deploy prowess creatures ASAP
Enablers: Cori-Steel Cutter, Dragon's Rage Channeler, Monastery Swiftspear, Slickshot Show-Off
Develop
Chain spells to trigger prowess and push damage
Enablers: Lava Dart, Mishra's Bauble, Mutagenic Growth, Violent Urge
Interaction: Lightning Bolt, Unholy Heat
Fillers: Expressive Iteration, Preordain
Close
Burn face to finish, deploy Murktide as backup
Mulligan for: Dragon's Rage Channeler, Lightning Bolt, Monastery Swiftspear, Slickshot Show-Off
Always deploy T1-T2: Dragon's Rage Channeler, Monastery Swiftspear
Kill Turn Distribution
Metagame Strategy — Non-Obvious Findings
Sideboard asymmetry: vs 4/5c Control, G1 WR is 80% but match WR drops to 30% (-50pp). Opponent adapts better post-board.
Removal blind spot: Quantum Riddler from 4c Omnath deals 24 damage and is likely outside your mainboard removal range. Consider SB answers for this axis.
Weighted gap -7.3pp: This deck underperforms at top tables vs the field. Struggles against popular decks — consider adapting your SB for the T1 field.
G1 → Match Swing — Sideboard Asymmetry
4/5c Control
80%
→
30%
-50pp
G3=20%
4c Omnath
60%
→
26%
-34pp
G3=40%
What Kills You — Removal Blind Spots
Quantum Riddler
24 dmg · 4c Omnath
Phlage
54 dmg · 4/5c Control
Wan Shi Tong, Librarian
124 dmg · Azorius Control
Murktide Regent
75 dmg · Dimir Midrange
Matchup Spread
T1 opponents (≥5% meta)
4/5c Controlcontrol6.7%30%
Azorius Control (WSTcontrol6.7%40%
Azorius Controlcontrol6.7%96%
T2 opponents (3-5%)
Goryo's Vengeancecombo3.6%96%
Field
Dimir Midrangemidrange2.8%46%
Pinnacle Affinityaggro2.0%46%
Simulated: 2026-05-02 · 16 decks · 100 Bo3/pair (1500 games for Izzet Prowess) · Engine: MTGSimManu@3e74429
Source: metagame_data.jsx (D object) · Card stats: deck_cards[9] · Matchups: matchup_cards["9,*"]
Shell: ManusAI · Strategy + EV scoring: Claude · Owner: DJPieter81