Boros Energy
Aggro · Modern · April 2026 · Sim-verified · 50 Bo3 per pair
Format
Modern
Aggro · 21.1% meta
Sim WR (flat)
65.3%
⚖ 65.2% T1/T2 weighted
Rank
#2
Tier 1 · -0.1pp weighted gap
Best / Worst
98%
vs Az Control / worst 28% vs Affinity
Stars of the Sim — 700 Games
MVP — #1 Finisher
Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer
62 kills
369 casts · 557 dmg total
Haste T1 → converts every board into a win
MVP — #1 Damage
Phlage, Titan of Fire's Fury
984 dmg
331 casts · 48 kills
Nearly 2× Ragavan's damage. Escape = free rebuys
Overperformer
Guide of Souls
33 kills
244 casts · #3 finisher
A 1/2 for W that closes more games than Ocelot Pride
Overperformer
Ocelot Pride
384 dmg*
267 casts · 29 kills
*Cat Tokens are the #3 damage source — ahead of every spell
Mainboard — 60 Cards
4Ragavan, Nimble Pilfererthreat369 casts · 557 dmg · #1 finisher (62)
4Guide of Soulsenergy244 casts · #3 finisher (33)
4Ocelot Prideenergy267 casts · #4 finisher (29)
4Ajani, Nacatl Pariahthreatflips → PW
2Voice of Victoryenablertoken synergy
4Phlage, Titan of Fire's Furyfinisher331 casts · 984 dmg · #2 finisher (48)
3Seasoned Pyromancervaluedraw + tokens
4Galvanic Dischargeremoval243 casts · energy removal
1Static Prisonremovalenergy + exile
3Goblin Bombardmentreachsac for damage
3Thraben Charmflexmodal · SB-out target
2Blood Moonhateshuts greedy mana
22Landsland11 fetches · 3 Sacred Foundry
Sideboard — 15 Cards
3Wrath of the Skiessweepvs Zoo (4× cast), Prowess (2× cast)
2Orim's Chantprotectcombo / storm
2High Noonhatecascade / instants
2Obsidian Charmawland hateTron / Amulet
2The Legend of Rokugrindmidrange mirrors
1Wear // TearartifactAffinity / prison
1Showdown of the Skaldscard advgrindy matchups
1Surgical ExtractionGY hatevs Goryo's (IN), Living End (IN)
1Celestial Purgeremovalvs Ruby Storm (1× cast)
Deck Construction Findings
Meta-weighted vs flat WR-0.1pp
Smallest drop of any T1 deck — Boros beats top decks nearly as well as weak ones.
Phlage: #1 damage source984 dmg
331 casts across 700 games. 3 drain ETB + 6/6 body + escape recursion. Nearly 2× Ragavan's damage (557).
Ragavan: #1 finisher62 kills
Despite lower total damage, Ragavan's haste + early deployment converts board states into wins more than any other card.
Cat Token: hidden damage source384 dmg
#3 damage source — Ocelot Pride tokens deal more total damage than Guide of Souls or Galvanic Discharge.
Best matchup: Azorius Control98%
Worst matchup: Affinity28%
Game Plan
T1–T2: Curve Out
Fetchland → Ragavan or Guide of Souls T1. T2: deploy Ajani + hold up Galvanic Discharge to clear their T1 play. Energy from Ocelot Pride and Guide triggers. Target: 4-6 damage by end of T2 with board presence.
T3–T4: Push Damage
Phlage on T3: drain 3 + 6/6 body. Attack with everything — use Galvanic Discharge to clear blockers. Blood Moon vs greedy manabases. Goblin Bombardment converts tokens into damage. Target: opponent at 8-10 life.
T5+: Close Game (avg kill T6.3)
Phlage escape from graveyard for repeated 3-life drain. Bombardment sacrifice creatures for final points. Seasoned Pyromancer for gas if stalled. Ragavan closes 62 games, Phlage closes 48 — together they account for 110 of 457 wins.
Kill Turn Distribution (from matchup_cards avg_turns)
Hand Archetype Win Rates
2L + T1 threat + removal78%
2L + 2 threats + Phlage74%
2L + 1 threat + 2 removal70%
── baseline (all keeps) 65.3% ──
3L + threats only (no removal)60%
Real Hands From Sim
✓ KEEP → WON T8 vs Izzet Prowess (seed 50040)
Guide of Souls, Guide of Souls, Ajani, Nacatl Pariah, Thraben Charm, Blood Moon, Snow-Covered Mountain, Arena of Glory
T1: Arena → Guide of Souls (1 energy). T2: Mountain → Ajani (both attack, Guide gains life + energy). T3: Blood Moon shuts off Prowess's Steam Vents. Opponent stuck on basics. T4-8: Ajani flips, token army builds. Opponent can't cast Unholy Heat through Moon. Blood Moon was the MVP — turned a close race into a blowout.
✓ KEEP → Strong 7 vs Domain Zoo (seed 50020)
Ragavan, Guide of Souls, Static Prison, Phlage, Phlage, Snow-Covered Plains, Arena of Glory
T1: Plains → Guide of Souls (energy). T2: Arena → Static Prison on opponent's Ragavan (exile it, gain energy). T3: Phlage — drain 3, 6/6 body. Perfect curve: T1 threat + T2 removal + T3 finisher. Two Phlages means the second can escape from GY later. This is the dream hand shape: 2L-2T-1R-2F.
✗ MULLIGAN — No T1/T2 threat (seed 50001)
Thraben Charm, Seasoned Pyromancer, Phlage, Phlage, Thraben Charm, Flooded Strand, Arena of Glory
2 lands, 5 spells — looks fine on paper. But no creature with CMC ≤ 2. Earliest threat is Phlage on T3, and only if you draw a third land. Sim correctly mulliganed. Drew into Ragavan + Guide on the mull to 6. The mulligan rule: always need a T1 or T2 creature.
Metagame Strategy — Non-Obvious Findings
Finding 1: The Phlage Paradox — #1 Damage, #2 Finisher
Phlage deals 984 total damage (1.77× Ragavan's 557) but only closes 48 games vs Ragavan's 62. That's 20.5 dmg per kill for Phlage vs 9.0 for Ragavan — Phlage is 2.3× less efficient at converting damage into wins.
Why: Phlage's 3-drain ETB fires repeatedly (escape from GY) but spreads damage across turns as attrition. Ragavan's haste concentrates damage in the critical T4-6 window when opponents are low. Phlage is a value engine; Ragavan is the assassin.
Implication for play: Don't hold Ragavan to protect it from removal — deploy it T1 every time. Each attack does disproportionate damage toward closing the game. Phlage on T3 is fine even into open mana — its job is attrition, not closing.
Source: deck_cards[0].finishers, deck_cards[0].mvp_damage
Finding 2: Your Closer Changes Per Matchup — And Not How You'd Expect
PHLAGE closes vs fast decks
Storm (5 kills at 5.3t), Prowess (6 kills at 5.5t), ETron (4 kills at 7.5t). Counterintuitive: in your fastest matchups, the 3-mana card closes, not the 1-mana hasty creature. Reason: Phlage's drain is lethal reach after opponents race you to low life.
GUIDE closes vs ramp/value
Amulet (7 kills), Omnath (6 kills), Zoo (3 kills). A 1/2 for W outperforms Ragavan and Phlage here. Guide's flying (from energy) goes over ground stalls. Lifelink negates their incremental damage while tokens accumulate.
RAGAVAN closes vs slow decks
Goryo's (10 kills), 4/5c (9 kills), Jeskai (2 kills), Dimir (4 kills), Control (5-6 kills). Against opponents who don't pressure your life, Ragavan's haste + repeated attacks snowball. Treasure ramp accelerates Phlage escape.
Takeaway: Don't assume Ragavan is always your Plan A closer. Against Prowess/Storm, deploy Ragavan as a chump attacker and save resources for Phlage drain as actual lethal.
Finding 3: Sideboard Impact — Some Matchups Flip, Some Get Worse
↑ You improve post-board
Living End40%→84%+44pp
Surgical Extraction is the single highest-impact SB card in any matchup. 4 comebacks, 0 for opponent. They literally cannot win G2/G3.
Affinity10%→28%+18pp
Improves but still losing. 0 comebacks. The 1-of Wear // Tear isn't enough. If Affinity stays at 6.1% meta, consider 2× Wear // Tear.
Jeskai Blink50%→66%+16pp
G1 is coin flip (50-50). But Jeskai sweeps 5 to our 2 — yet we win 66%. We dominate G3. When it goes to three, Boros nearly always wins.
↓ Opponent improves MORE than you
Prowess70%→54%-16pp
Prowess's Spell Pierce negates your T3 Phlage. Their SB adapts to your removal better than your Wrath adapts to their threats. Don't feel safe at 70% G1.
Amulet70%→58%-12pp
3 Boros comebacks but the matchup still gets worse. Amulet's post-board plan is more effective than ours. Consider Obsidian Charmaw earlier.
Pattern: Boros's SB excels vs combo (Surgical, Celestial Purge) but underperforms vs tempo/aggro adapting to it. The "flexible midrange" opponents get better faster.
Finding 4: Galvanic Discharge Blind Spots — What It Can't Answer

Construct Token
137 dmg · Affinity
Artifact creature. GD does 3-4 dmg. Token has 6+ toughness from Plating.

Murktide Regent
137 dmg · Dimir
Flying 8/8. GD does 3-4. Need 2 removal spells to answer 1 threat.

Reality Smasher
104 dmg · ETron
Trample + haste + discard on target. GD costs a card even if it could kill it.

Grapeshot
122 dmg · Storm
Non-creature. Can't be removed. You have 0 mainboard answers to storm kills.
The pattern: Every matchup below 55% involves threats that Galvanic Discharge structurally can't answer — oversized artifacts, flying fatties, non-creature combo. Your removal suite is designed for the 68%+ matchups (small creatures, fair decks). The 28-40% matchups need a fundamentally different interaction axis (artifact hate, counterspells, or faster clock).
Finding 5: Never Board Out Ocelot Pride
Ocelot Pride's Cat Tokens are the #3 total damage source at 384 dmg — more than Galvanic Discharge (243 casts as removal), Goblin Bombardment, Blood Moon, and every other noncreature card combined.
Boarding out Ocelot cuts ~20% of your damage output. Even in matchups where 1/1 tokens seem bad (ETron, Affinity), the aggregate damage from tokens that get in early is significant. Board out Thraben Charm instead — it's the flex slot the sim always cuts first.
Source: deck_cards[0].mvp_damage — Cat Token 384 > any individual noncreature
Finding 6: The -0.1pp Gap Is the Real Story
Boros's weighted WR drops only 0.1pp from flat (65.3% → 65.2%). Compare: Domain Zoo drops 6.0pp, Affinity drops 2.3pp, Jeskai drops 4.5pp.
This means Boros's win rate is almost perfectly flat across opponent quality. It beats top decks nearly as well as weak ones. Most decks inflate their flat WR by farming bad matchups — Boros doesn't. Its 65.3% is real against the field you'll actually face at a tournament.
Why this matters for metagaming: If someone says "Boros is overrated at 65%", they're wrong — that 65% holds at the top tables. The deck doesn't have a house-of-cards WR that collapses when opponents get good.
Matchup Spread
T1 opponents (≥5% meta share)
4/5c Controlcontrol6.7%86%
Az Control (WST)control6.7%68%
Azorius Controlcontrol6.7%98%
T2 opponents (3-5%)
Izzet Prowessaggro4.9%54%
Goryo's Vengeancecombo3.6%74%
Field
Dimir Midrangemidrange2.8%56%
Simulated: 2026-04-12 · 15 decks · 50 Bo3/pair (700 games for Boros) · Avg kill: T6.3 · Engine: MTGSimManu
Source: metagame_data.jsx (D object) · Card stats: deck_cards[0] · Matchups: matchup_cards["0,*"]
Shell: ManusAI · Strategy + EV scoring: Claude · Owner: DJPieter81